← Revelfest Special Event Tuesday
Water GenbuTier 1
at Revelfest Special Event Tuesday
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
1-1-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.2%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
52.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1318
· median 1318
· range 1318–1318
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1104
Q1 1196
Q3 1362
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 17.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slice & Dice | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | +0.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Genbu decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
